A Little Roller

I'm into baseball. I'm into math. This is where those two joys come together.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 9/3.  What can we say?  The O’s continue to run away with this thing, showing remarkable balance with the #1 pitching staff and the #2 batting order. The Great Unfausto’s hitting has been impressive - improving steadily all summer - and some pitching staffs have made runs of late (the Cannolis and the Women)…but still the gap has widened.

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 8/26.  I’m a couple weeks behind getting these up so I’m just going to post them. 

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 8/19.  I’m a couple weeks behind getting these up so I’m just going to post them. 

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 8/12.  I’m a couple weeks behind getting these up so I’m just going to post them. 

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 8/5.  Looks like the cellar dwellers have made a run the last couple weeks.  For example, take a look at how the Lady Knights’ hitting has spiked, while their pitching has steadily improved for 9 straight weeks.  Meanwhile, the Ottaway Women’s hitters have plumbed new depths and the O’s have had a downturn, coming back to the pack a bit.

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 7/29.  

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 7/22.  This update is a week late, so I’ll just post the data.

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

Here are the weekly charts updated through 7/15.  The data show an increasingly strong lead for the O’s, which got me thinking.  With a lead of ~300 points in mid-July, what are the O’s chances of winning it all?  This league has crowned 10 winners according to the Yahoo! site, which is not a lot of data, but I’m curious what it says on this question.  So, that’s an idea for another post.

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  The O’s have been dominant the since June: in 4 of the last 6 weeks they have increased their lead on virtually every other team.

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  Remember last week when I talked about how the O’s pitching was perhaps regressing?  Well, they put in a stellar week to raise their season productivity back to 3.37 pts/IP. What appeared to be a trend may have been an anomaly.

  • Week of 6/17: 3.38
  • Week of 6/24: 3.45
  • Week of 7/1:   2.66
  • Week of 7/8:   2.94
  • Week of 7/15: 3.79

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

TTB Weekly Scoring Through 7/8

Here are the weekly charts updated through 7/8.  We’re half way through the season, the time when teams take stock and decide whether to be buyers or sellers. Well there’s no new wild card in the TTB league, but like the logjam of teams vying for that second MLB wildcard, there are eight teams grouped behind the leaders who need to determine if and how they’ll try and make a run. 

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better).  Check out the bundle of teams in 4th-11th place, separated by only 136 points.  Addicto al Jonron has made a run the last four weeks to get back to this pack, but who (if anyone) will emerge the second half?

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are.  This week’s data show that Addicto’s run has been driven by hitting, which has spiked from 2.97 to 3.12 pts/game the last couple weeks. In fact Addicto’s pitching worsened in that time - time will tell if the addition of Wainwright will fix that.  If memory serves, this is the second year running that Addicto has acquired a veteran Cardinal starter for the beck end of the season.

The other interesting trend is the dip in the O’s pitching production. For the year, the O’s staff has delivered at an amazing clip: 3.34 pts/IP. But the last couple weeks have seen a major dip in week-to-week production to the point where they look merely average:

  • Week of 6/17: 3.38
  • Week of 6/24: 3.45
  • Week of 7/1:   2.66
  • Week of 7/8:   2.94
This bears watching in the coming weeks.

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.

TTB Weekly Scoring Through 7/1

Here are the weekly charts updated through 7/1. Apologies for the delay - it only takes me 15 minutes to make the charts, but finding the time to write and post the update is proving more difficult than expected.

In any event, here are a couple quick items of note.  First, Subject to Change is a team on the move.  Their hitting and pitching rates have been improving the last three weeks and are in the top quartile. Accordingly, they’re making a run in the standings. Secondly, my Jersey Guns pitching staff is delivering the second best productivity in the league. More on that below. 

Progressive Standings

As a reminder, this chart shows the standings over time, charting how many points behind the lead each team is on a weekly basis (being at the top is better). 

Productivity Stats

As a reminder, these charts measure how productive a teams hitting (points/game) and pitching (points/IP) are. About my Jersey Guns pitching…I’m happy with this performance because I had a hard time with pitching the last couple years. Not that anyone cares about that. What’s interesting, though, is that before Latos’ start on 7/5, I had no pitcher in the top 25. And even after that start, Latos is only coming in at #25, and the rest of my staff is clustered between 31-40. Looks like the Jersey Guns’ success is based on a group of strong pitchers, rather than 1 or 2 stand-outs buoying a set of middling pitchers. My relief pitching is strong (and relievers typically have stronger productivity rates than starters given the scoring system), but I don’t expect that to be an overwhelming factor given their relatively small share of overall pitching points. Something to look into more if time allows. 

Note: 2011 Max = 60.8%, Winner = 54.3%, Avg = 56.2

Note: 2011 Max = 2011 Winner

Projected Standings

This table shows the projected final standings if teams maintain their current productivity rates and their deficits in games played and IP.